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New Marquette Poll: Race for President Tightening in Wisconsin

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A new Marquette Law School Poll released today finds Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton with 43 percent support and Republican candidate Donald Trump with 37 percent support in a head-to-head presidential matchup among Wisconsin registered voters. Eleven percent say they will vote for neither candidate.

Among likely voters, i.e., those who say they are certain they will vote in November, Clinton is supported by 45 percent and Trump by 41 percent in the new poll, with 9 percent saying they will support neither candidate. In June, Clinton held a lead of 42-35 over Trump among registered voters, and 46-37 among likely voters.

The poll was conducted Thursday through Sunday last week.

In a four-way matchup among Clinton, Trump, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Clinton receives 40 percent, Trump 33, Johnson 10 and Stein 4. A total of 12 percent in that matchup say they will vote for none of the candidates, won’t vote or don’t know how they will vote. Among likely voters, Clinton receives 43 percent, Trump 37, Johnson 8 and Stein 2 percent.

“There’s good evidence here that we may be looking at a tighter race for president in Wisconsin,” said poll Director Charles Franklin in the poll’s release.

In a head-to-head matchup for Wisconsin’s U.S. Senate race, among registered voters, Democratic candidate Russ Feingold is supported by 48 percent while Republican incumbent Sen. Ron Johnson receives 41 percent. In June, Feingold had 45 percent and Johnson 41 percent.

Among likely voters in November’s election, Feingold has the support of 49 percent while Johnson is supported by 44 percent. In June, Feingold had 51 percent to Johnson’s 42 percent among likely voters.

The poll interviewed 801 registered voters, of which 665 said they were certain to vote. The margin of error for registered voters is +/-4.1 percent and +/-4.5 percent for likely voters.